Recent content by lochvale

Hi 1nvest, yeah, I’m a big fan of rate of change. I tend to anchor it to specific highs or lows. For example, I’m treating April 7 as a potential correction low in U.S. markets and using that as the starting point to measure ROC. Helps me spot what’s actually leading since it’s not always...

As a position trader, one of the things i look at is ratios Ratios compare the performance of two markets to expose relative strength. Instead of asking “Is X going up?”, a ratio asks “Is X outperforming Y?” These help you spot whether traders are leaning Risk-On (chasing upside) or Risk-Off...

With the Investors Intelligence survey of newsletter writers. Each week, they classify each newsletter into one of three buckets: Bullish – expecting higher stock prices Bearish – expecting lower stock prices Correction – neutral/sideways view (short-term pullback in uptrend) The current...

The NAAIM survey of investment managers asks: "What is your firm’s current overall equity exposure as a percentage of your portfolio?" Respondents give a single number, from 200% leveraged long to 100% net short For example: +100% = fully long +50% = half allocated to equities 0% = neutral /...

Fund managers are also currently very bearish.

This is the recent AAII reading Individual Investors are very bearish

Starting this thread to regularly track trader and fund manager sentiment The major surveys (and who are surveyed): AAII: 2-300 individual investors (weekly) Investors Intelligence: About 100+ independent investment newsletters (weekly) NAAIM: Active investment managers (number is hard to...