jasont
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The History
I thought it was about time to put myself on the line a bit. I began trading almost two years ago after hearing the hype about how “easy” trading was. You know those wealth programs going around that say sell options and it is hard to lose hehe. Well I began in May 2006 with writing spreads on the Aussie Equities market and to cut the story short, in two months I had dropped half my capital.
In all honesty it was probably one of the best things to happen. First it taught me that the market needs respect and secondly it taught me that to trade the markets I need to learn them first. With spreads I was simply picking stocks that appeared to be good value. Now I know it doesn’t exactly work that way unless you have seen markets over a period of many years.
After learning my lesson from spreads I decided the best plan would be to educate myself in charts. Unfortunately I purchased a different wealth program that taught charting but it was pretty much the most basic stuff you can learn on the net for free. Of course there was no money management, risk management, profit targets, backtesting or scaling talk etc. After doing this course I thought I was the king of trading and jumped into buying options.
Over a period of a few months in buying options on equities I soon realized that I was risking way too much to make too little. Add to that, I learnt market makers are extremely difficult to deal with. You could buy an option for 20 cents and then see them squeeze another person trying to sell the same option seconds later for 15 cents. That was when I realized that market makers weren’t governed by any rules stating that an option should be valued roughly at X when the underlying stock is worth Y. Of course such a rule I now realize would go against the very fundamentals of capitalism.
My bought options would be set for a month till expiry and any sort of swing would move my position instantly. At the end of my bought options stint I was roughly break even. I had realized that there was no backtesting I had done nor did I know my statistical probability of making profit. At that point I decided to do some further investigating into the markets and really look for something solid to trade. Another moment in my trading history that formed one of the best things that could happen.
It was at this point I found a mentor willing to help me out with mechanical trading. With his help I developed a system for trading equities with CFD’s. I backtested a huge amount of stocks until I came up with a list that I was happy with. Every stock on my list had provided me with 150% or more from 2000 till 2007. I thought this was it, finally I had figured out the keys to trading. Make a plan, backtest it with historical analysis and if it works you are pretty much guaranteed success. Obviously all the mechanical traders out there would agree that I was a little uninformed. I didn’t believe that systems might work in one market but not another.
I traded the CFD’s from April 2007 and initially I made a 40% gain on my capital in 3 months. I thought I had regained my throne of the King of Trading. Then we came to June 2007 and the market effectively changed. Instead of a nice steady uptrend or downtrend we hit this volatile whipsaw of one move to another. My 40% gain moved into a 30% loss. My trading plan relied on trending markets to make money however there was choppy action that would have me enter a position only to be taken out a few days later. Thankfully I was only ever risking 2% on any single position. Come September 2007 and I realized that I needed another strategy to compliment the trend following one. Something that allowed me to trade sideways markets, a little bit more short term.
The Present
This brings me to my futures trading on the S&P E-Minis. It wasn’t until I learnt about futures that I realized I had been trading the wrong style up until this point. I discovered that my personality suits more fast paced action, I hate the idea of waiting weeks or months to find out if I’m wrong. I have also discovered that I am quick to change my ideas on a market.
When I was watching the equities closely, my ideas on where the stock was headed changed pretty much daily as new information became available. However trading stocks on an intra day basis is not a great idea in the Aussie market as the liquidity is low and likely to result in large slippage. Also my account size was not big enough to make use of 1-10 cent price gains.
So after doing some soul searching and asking myself why I was trading, I discovered that the nature of the futures market was exactly what I was meant to be doing. For me scalping the market provided quick feedback to my performance and futures seemed to allow more control over positions due to less chance of slippage and high liquidity.
So here I am, six months after first watching the futures market. I began simulation trading in September and live trading in January. My first few months of live simulation were rocky, moving from equities to the S&P E-Minis was a big change. I don’t believe the markets move the same and it took a while for me to adjust. I was alternating between good weeks and bad weeks up until December when I finally found my footing. I could watch the market and see the high probability moves that fit my plan and take action. From December to the end of January I was trading consistently well. I followed my plan to the ‘T’ and traded only when I felt 100%. I took losses but they were small and often didn’t reach my hard stops. The rocky start I had was over and I was finally looking at the market through the right eyes.
At the end of January I decided two months of good simulation trading meant I was ready to trade live. In fact two months of intra day trading is a lot of exposure to the market. I only trade the last two hours of the first two hours of the trading day, obviously there is more time to trade but being in Australia makes it difficult to trade the entire day if you want to see civilization in the day hours.
The first hiccup occurred straight out of the gate. I was eager to get my feet wet with my trading capital and didn’t want to make a big deal of using my own funds. I jumped in and made a nice scalp and got out. It was the only trade I placed for the first day and that was fine as it appeared to be the only solid opportunity. There was a problem though, I was using TransAct to place my orders instead of the Trade Navigator order bar I was accustomed to. The second day I placed a trade with too much confidence and right away it went to my hard stop. I noticed before it reached and exited at market. Instead of just getting me out, it got me out and added me short at the next tick lower. Straight away it bounced and caused me to lose double my normal risk on one trade as I exited that one at market. Safe to say that the second day put a dent in my capital that I wasn’t expecting. A good lesson in learning your order platform.
The Problem
The reason I mention this is that it formed the basis of my fear in placing orders. The reason I am here with this journal is to deal with the fear of placing trades. I have been placing trades since but I am cutting my profits short and hesitating before entering. I recognize that this is a big problem that needs to be addressed yet I am not sure how to fix it. I even went back to simulation for a week and managed to pull a decent profit for the week. As soon as I went back to using my own funds I was like a turtle sticking his head back in his shell.
The major frustration is that from watching markets I have developed the ability to pick changes in market mood very well. I often look at the market and from the way it is moving can generally say something is changing and get it right at least 80% of the time. The only problem I have is taking conviction on those trades. Something is holding me back. I even dropped my risk amount by half and I still cannot push myself to pull the trigger. When I do, my heart races and everything speeds up, I no longer look at the market in the non biased light and assess it clearly. The only thing that has changed from my consistent trading with my simulation account to my failure to place trades is the introduction of my capital. I hope this journal can help me take action and get me going again.
The Plan
The plan is to update this as often as I can, daily is ideal. I have S&R zones that are my guides for the day as well as a couple of EMA’s that help show me the general direction. However I am one to watch the market and how it got where it did more so than look for indicators to tell me to trade. I trade emotions, areas that people are trapped in the market and are feeling edgy to get out or to get in. I use volume but only as a form of stop protection when I place my trades. Usually through watching the legitimate orders on the market and where previous price levels seem to attract attention. The NYSE Tick is a big part of my trading as it tells me the general sentiment of the market in a quick glance. I use it to see if the futures are getting to excited or too depressed and find things that don’t quite add up.
I thought it was about time to put myself on the line a bit. I began trading almost two years ago after hearing the hype about how “easy” trading was. You know those wealth programs going around that say sell options and it is hard to lose hehe. Well I began in May 2006 with writing spreads on the Aussie Equities market and to cut the story short, in two months I had dropped half my capital.
In all honesty it was probably one of the best things to happen. First it taught me that the market needs respect and secondly it taught me that to trade the markets I need to learn them first. With spreads I was simply picking stocks that appeared to be good value. Now I know it doesn’t exactly work that way unless you have seen markets over a period of many years.
After learning my lesson from spreads I decided the best plan would be to educate myself in charts. Unfortunately I purchased a different wealth program that taught charting but it was pretty much the most basic stuff you can learn on the net for free. Of course there was no money management, risk management, profit targets, backtesting or scaling talk etc. After doing this course I thought I was the king of trading and jumped into buying options.
Over a period of a few months in buying options on equities I soon realized that I was risking way too much to make too little. Add to that, I learnt market makers are extremely difficult to deal with. You could buy an option for 20 cents and then see them squeeze another person trying to sell the same option seconds later for 15 cents. That was when I realized that market makers weren’t governed by any rules stating that an option should be valued roughly at X when the underlying stock is worth Y. Of course such a rule I now realize would go against the very fundamentals of capitalism.
My bought options would be set for a month till expiry and any sort of swing would move my position instantly. At the end of my bought options stint I was roughly break even. I had realized that there was no backtesting I had done nor did I know my statistical probability of making profit. At that point I decided to do some further investigating into the markets and really look for something solid to trade. Another moment in my trading history that formed one of the best things that could happen.
It was at this point I found a mentor willing to help me out with mechanical trading. With his help I developed a system for trading equities with CFD’s. I backtested a huge amount of stocks until I came up with a list that I was happy with. Every stock on my list had provided me with 150% or more from 2000 till 2007. I thought this was it, finally I had figured out the keys to trading. Make a plan, backtest it with historical analysis and if it works you are pretty much guaranteed success. Obviously all the mechanical traders out there would agree that I was a little uninformed. I didn’t believe that systems might work in one market but not another.
I traded the CFD’s from April 2007 and initially I made a 40% gain on my capital in 3 months. I thought I had regained my throne of the King of Trading. Then we came to June 2007 and the market effectively changed. Instead of a nice steady uptrend or downtrend we hit this volatile whipsaw of one move to another. My 40% gain moved into a 30% loss. My trading plan relied on trending markets to make money however there was choppy action that would have me enter a position only to be taken out a few days later. Thankfully I was only ever risking 2% on any single position. Come September 2007 and I realized that I needed another strategy to compliment the trend following one. Something that allowed me to trade sideways markets, a little bit more short term.
The Present
This brings me to my futures trading on the S&P E-Minis. It wasn’t until I learnt about futures that I realized I had been trading the wrong style up until this point. I discovered that my personality suits more fast paced action, I hate the idea of waiting weeks or months to find out if I’m wrong. I have also discovered that I am quick to change my ideas on a market.
When I was watching the equities closely, my ideas on where the stock was headed changed pretty much daily as new information became available. However trading stocks on an intra day basis is not a great idea in the Aussie market as the liquidity is low and likely to result in large slippage. Also my account size was not big enough to make use of 1-10 cent price gains.
So after doing some soul searching and asking myself why I was trading, I discovered that the nature of the futures market was exactly what I was meant to be doing. For me scalping the market provided quick feedback to my performance and futures seemed to allow more control over positions due to less chance of slippage and high liquidity.
So here I am, six months after first watching the futures market. I began simulation trading in September and live trading in January. My first few months of live simulation were rocky, moving from equities to the S&P E-Minis was a big change. I don’t believe the markets move the same and it took a while for me to adjust. I was alternating between good weeks and bad weeks up until December when I finally found my footing. I could watch the market and see the high probability moves that fit my plan and take action. From December to the end of January I was trading consistently well. I followed my plan to the ‘T’ and traded only when I felt 100%. I took losses but they were small and often didn’t reach my hard stops. The rocky start I had was over and I was finally looking at the market through the right eyes.
At the end of January I decided two months of good simulation trading meant I was ready to trade live. In fact two months of intra day trading is a lot of exposure to the market. I only trade the last two hours of the first two hours of the trading day, obviously there is more time to trade but being in Australia makes it difficult to trade the entire day if you want to see civilization in the day hours.
The first hiccup occurred straight out of the gate. I was eager to get my feet wet with my trading capital and didn’t want to make a big deal of using my own funds. I jumped in and made a nice scalp and got out. It was the only trade I placed for the first day and that was fine as it appeared to be the only solid opportunity. There was a problem though, I was using TransAct to place my orders instead of the Trade Navigator order bar I was accustomed to. The second day I placed a trade with too much confidence and right away it went to my hard stop. I noticed before it reached and exited at market. Instead of just getting me out, it got me out and added me short at the next tick lower. Straight away it bounced and caused me to lose double my normal risk on one trade as I exited that one at market. Safe to say that the second day put a dent in my capital that I wasn’t expecting. A good lesson in learning your order platform.
The Problem
The reason I mention this is that it formed the basis of my fear in placing orders. The reason I am here with this journal is to deal with the fear of placing trades. I have been placing trades since but I am cutting my profits short and hesitating before entering. I recognize that this is a big problem that needs to be addressed yet I am not sure how to fix it. I even went back to simulation for a week and managed to pull a decent profit for the week. As soon as I went back to using my own funds I was like a turtle sticking his head back in his shell.
The major frustration is that from watching markets I have developed the ability to pick changes in market mood very well. I often look at the market and from the way it is moving can generally say something is changing and get it right at least 80% of the time. The only problem I have is taking conviction on those trades. Something is holding me back. I even dropped my risk amount by half and I still cannot push myself to pull the trigger. When I do, my heart races and everything speeds up, I no longer look at the market in the non biased light and assess it clearly. The only thing that has changed from my consistent trading with my simulation account to my failure to place trades is the introduction of my capital. I hope this journal can help me take action and get me going again.
The Plan
The plan is to update this as often as I can, daily is ideal. I have S&R zones that are my guides for the day as well as a couple of EMA’s that help show me the general direction. However I am one to watch the market and how it got where it did more so than look for indicators to tell me to trade. I trade emotions, areas that people are trapped in the market and are feeling edgy to get out or to get in. I use volume but only as a form of stop protection when I place my trades. Usually through watching the legitimate orders on the market and where previous price levels seem to attract attention. The NYSE Tick is a big part of my trading as it tells me the general sentiment of the market in a quick glance. I use it to see if the futures are getting to excited or too depressed and find things that don’t quite add up.